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February 27, 2009

Leeds and the bomb

Filed under: Personal — Tags: , , , , , , — mattjp @ 5:22 pm

I have a little project that I’ve been putting off for quite a while as it involves a little work (!). I did most of my growing up in the 1980s. For the most part that was a decade of mullets, leggings and the first wave of banking types making an absolute bloody mint then buggering it all up. More importantly though, the 1980s were a period when people were legitimately afraid that the world might imminently end in a nuclear fire ball. At various times during that decade, we really did come very close to the missiles being let loose.

Leeds, a city of, then, around half a million people in the North of England played host to a faded football team (now freshly faded following an all too brief return to success) and a lot of dead industries. It also had a council which like most outside the South of England was run by a vaguely left-wing (note for modern day conservatives, when I write “vaguely”, you may read, “rabidly”) Labour council which insisted that Leeds was a ‘nuclear free zone’. However silly a designation this might have been (and it was silly as there was not a nuclear power station within 100 miles and the river Aire isn’t suitable for sailing nuclear submarines), it did mean that the council put considLeeds and THE BOMBerable effort into explaining the precise impact on Leeds that a putative nuclear strike might have.

The result of these efforts was the production of an amazing pamphlet called, “Leeds and THE BOMB” [original emphasis]. This thing was a wealth of horror for a young boy – I absolutely loved it. Between incredible graphs and diagrams (using a design that is absolutely of its time but which still looks great today) showing estimated casualties and fatalities were interspersed descriptions of the injuries that people would likely suffer. For an eight year old, these were quite clearly the stuff of nightmares. Consequently, I couldn’t stop reading it.

For years, I forgot about it, then recently had a discussion with a friend where we discussed ‘Threads‘. This film, a fictionalised account of post-nuclear-holocaust Sheffield (another Yorkshire town – I wonder to what extent the inherent ‘grimness’ of England’s North contributed to an obsession with nuclear destruction) was another great source of nightmares, albeit in my teens. The upshot of this conversation was that we both remembered this brilliant pamphlet but could find simply no trace of it on the internet.

This was a bit of a surprise frankly. How could something so brilliant not be available online? I intend fixing this frightening omission and plan over the next few days to finally get scanned copies of the pamphlet’s pages up onto the Web in all their horrible glory. Luckily for posterity, my mother found a copy lurking in a box somewhere and has been kind enough to scan the pages. Sadly, her scanner isn’t much cop and when I’m back in Europe I will get better versions done. For now though, they are legible and a great reminder of quite how bloody terrifying it could be growing up in the 1980s.

Leeds and THE BOMB 007

Just to whet your appetite, this two page spread shows the likely impact of blast, burn and fallout damage across Leeds resulting from a (comparatively small) one megaton bomb. To get a feel for how I felt about this diagram at the time, I lived right, bang, smack in the middle, where it says ‘University’.

More to come over the weekend. Hopefully, over time I will be able to get together some of the history behind this pamphlet including who produced it and what discussions were had about its likely effect (including on impressionable young science fiction fans like my young self). I might also do a few comparisons between the diagrams in ‘Leeds and THE BOMB’ and some of the more modern simulators such as HYDEsim.

February 12, 2009

Could the cloud drown in FUD?

Filed under: IT — Tags: — mattjp @ 4:32 pm

Mike Kavis has written a great post following the Forrester EA forum, suggesting that cloud computing faces the risk of heading down the same road of death by over-definition recently run by SOA. I couldn’t agree more with what he says – especially his lessons for getting the pitch right. Still, I wouldn’t lose too much sleep about cloud computing going away any time soon.

As a concept (even one which is misunderstood and misrepresented woefully), cloud computing is orders of magnitude simpler to explain than SOA ever was. SOA is the only industry buzz-word that I’ve ended up buying books about just to get my head around the general concept (that may say more about me than SOA mind).

Cloud computing, I feel has much more of a self-fulfilling dynamic about it than SOA could have had. The economics of it are mind-blowingly simple – even if a solution ends up more expensive than in-house, it is at least cost-transparent. The benefits to the business are clear and are very often then things that in-house IT has been failing to deliver for years (think agility and effective communication of costs in particular).

Ultimately, while some of the FUD is important, it’s in the process of being answered. Most of the issues with cloud computing have been solved somewhere already. What we’re going to see (sorry, are seeing!) now is the emergence of services able to tick many boxes simultaneously. These services will take off, FUD or no FUD.

Five years from now, we may well all have forgotten the phrase ‘cloud computing’ but it will be there one way or another, and the enterprise IT department and the data-centre will have been changed forever regardless.

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